Posted
9:42 PM
by Gene
Well! Florida's had a condo binge -- and now comes the purge!The oversupply will force prices down as much as 30 percent, the worst decline since the 1970s, and help push Florida's economy into recession as early as October, said Mark Zandi, chief economist at West Chester, Pennsylvania-based Moody's Economy.com, who owns a home in Vero Beach, Florida.Stop us before we build again!
In the 1970s, when condos were a new product, Florida developers built 500,000 units and prices fell 50 percent, said Brad Hunter of MetroStudy, a research firm in West Palm Beach.
``The difference is, back then they were two-story condo buildings that had $50,000 units,'' Hunter said. ``Nowadays they are $700,000 units in 20-story buildings. Instead of building too much stuff that people could afford like we did then, this time we built too much stuff that people can't afford.''And they can't be converted into apartments because they cost too much to build -- this looks like a recipe for profits!
The skyline of Miami is visible from Key Biscayne, the barrier island where John Rosser lives. Some nights the real estate broker scans the new buildings and sees more dark windows than lighted.
``This is dumbfounding to me,'' Rosser said. ``It's a building boom in the middle of a housing bust.''Look at it this way: there's plenty of living room for ghosts. Maybe they can light up all those units with their ectoplasm.